Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003339 0.003503 0.003670 0.003854 0.004051 0.004255 0.004484
2025-05-25 0.003100 0.003349 0.003613 0.003916 0.004256 0.004624 0.005058
2025-06-01 0.002908 0.003203 0.003524 0.003904 0.004341 0.004833 0.005430
2025-06-08 0.002749 0.003074 0.003436 0.003872 0.004388 0.004982 0.005727
2025-06-15 0.002600 0.002943 0.003332 0.003809 0.004386 0.005065 0.005938
2025-06-22 0.002477 0.002834 0.003244 0.003757 0.004387 0.005146 0.006141
2025-06-29 0.002398 0.002771 0.003207 0.003759 0.004450 0.005299 0.006438
2025-07-06 0.002269 0.002642 0.003082 0.003648 0.004365 0.005259 0.006481
2025-07-13 0.002208 0.002593 0.003053 0.003651 0.004421 0.005398 0.006760
2025-07-20 0.002177 0.002578 0.003063 0.003702 0.004539 0.005619 0.007157
2025-07-27 0.002109 0.002514 0.003009 0.003669 0.004544 0.005689 0.007350
2025-08-03 0.002051 0.002460 0.002966 0.003646 0.004559 0.005772 0.007562
2025-08-10 0.001992 0.002406 0.002920 0.003620 0.004570 0.005850 0.007772
2025-08-17 0.001973 0.002400 0.002937 0.003676 0.004695 0.006091 0.008230
2025-08-24 0.001927 0.002358 0.002905 0.003665 0.004724 0.006198 0.008494
2025-08-31 0.001877 0.002309 0.002861 0.003635 0.004727 0.006265 0.008700
2025-09-07 0.001819 0.002247 0.002798 0.003578 0.004687 0.006267 0.008804
2025-09-14 0.001767 0.002193 0.002744 0.003530 0.004658 0.006283 0.008929
2025-09-21 0.001736 0.002166 0.002726 0.003532 0.004701 0.006406 0.009230
2025-09-28 0.001669 0.002088 0.002637 0.003430 0.004588 0.006289 0.009135
2025-10-05 0.001643 0.002065 0.002621 0.003432 0.004629 0.006408 0.009432
2025-10-12 0.001634 0.002065 0.002637 0.003480 0.004737 0.006635 0.009920
2025-10-19 0.001598 0.002027 0.002600 0.003449 0.004727 0.006675 0.010093